Archive for the ‘Coronavirus’ Category

Covid-19 Impact on Pension Actuarial Assumptions

Perhaps we will be getting a plague component when AMT21 comes out but that is uncertain from the Issue Brief released by the American Academy of Actuaries. In fact, uncertainty is the theme of the paper which basically does not reach any conclusions though it offers some interesting insights and possibilities.

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Trumping Murphy Principles

The cosmic joke was that Trump convinced a vast swathe of working-class white folks in the Midwest that he cared about their well-being. The truth was that he couldn’t care less. I don’t mean that as speculation or an opinion. That was a stone-cold fact during the 2016 campaign and throughout Trump’s presidency to this very day. To Trump, his voters are his audience, his chumps, his patsies, his base. Guns, criminalizing abortion – Trump took up those conservative positions not because he believed in them but because they were his path to power. That was what I meant when I told Congress that Trump is a con man. (from Disloyal by Michael Cohen – pages 250-1 )

This quote from the Cohen book that I will be finishing and posting today got me to speculating about Governor Murphy’s motivations. With just a few word changes:

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False Positives

Not much thought or time spent on it by our covid tsar:
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Yet on twitter:

From a New York Times article (which may be only for subscribers so the whole article is at bottom):

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Counting NJ Deaths – August Update

Comparing the provisional figures of deaths in New Jersey by county released by New Jersey’s Center for Health Statistics and Informatics to deaths attributed to coronavirus by county as of August, 2020 in this updated spreadsheet shows the gap we had four months ago almost gone and deaths from all sources reported in August, 2020 being at the lowest level in six years.

Could Covid-19 be saving lives?

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Who You Gonna Believe?


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A couple of local examples.

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Left-Wing Socialists Eat Too

Ocean County Freeholder Jack Kelly made some excellent points last night before undercutting his argument with name-calling:
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The governor of Delaware also has a beef:

“They don’t care enough to take the time to even respond to us and tell us what kind of methodology they’re using. We would tell them, the methodology you’re using is flawed and therefore, you’re coming up with a calculation that completely misrepresents the number of new positive cases on a seven-day rolling average.”

I suspect Murphy (the Goldman Sachs guy) is not much of a left-wing socialist beyond what it takes to pander to a base that might advance his political ambitions.

But as to the bullshit dictator part….

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Cartoons

Came across a few lately.
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Some more (including real life ones):

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Will COVID-19 Trigger Teacher Retirements?

The question was posed in a webinar last Friday focused on California. Some clips of interest (to me) follow with the full webinar at bottom.

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The Influenza Pandemic of 1918

Not much literature on a subject that would be useful to understand and much of it can be found in the Juvenile section, like this one.

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New Jersey’s Coronavirus Response Is No ‘Model’

It’s not only goy New Jersey Republicans and health experts who think so as now we have this Commentary which makes a damning point.

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