Coronavirus Survival Guide

With bookstores likely not considered essential businesses my purchase of a special collectors edition of Remind and the Coronavirus Survival Guide might be the last use my Barnes & Noble card gets for a while.

Here are excerpts from one of those.

The data is as of February 13, 2020 and there is a lot of historical fluff and common sense disaster preparedness suggestions included with this helpful information:

Research suggests human coronaviruses account for up to 30 percent of upper respiratory infections, making them the second-most common cause of colds, after rhinoviruses. (page 10)

On December 31, 2019, an outbreak of pneumonia cases in Wuhan, China, was reported to the World Health Organization. The first patient reportedly became ill on December 1, 2019; by the end of the month, there were more than 40 reported cases in Wuhan. (page 10)

Like other coronaviruses, COVID-19 is mainly transmitted through respiratory droplets when an infected person coughs or sneezes. It’s unclear whether touching an object or surface where droplets have landed can spread the virus. (page 11)

A study published in The Lancet tracked 99 confirmed cases of COVID-19 between January 1 and January 20. Of those patients

  • 83 percent experienced a fever
  • 82 percent experienced a cough
  • 31 percent experienced shortness of breath
  • 75 percent showed bilateral pneumonia
  • 17 percent developed acute respiratory distress syndrome

Among the patients who developed acute respiratory distress syndrome, 11 percent died from multiple organ failure. That amounts to a mortality rate of approximately 2 percent of cases. But there’s a silver lining: The mortality rate may actually be lower than the data suggests. Someone who experiences only mild symptoms may not even seek medical care, which can throw off the numbers. (page 13)

SPEND TIME OUTSIDE There are several studies that connect being outdoors in fresh air with a stronger immune system. In part, that’s due to lower stress levels, but researchers have also noted that sunlight increases levels of vitamin D – boosting mood and a feeling of well- being – and that chemicals released by plants, called phytoncides, have a significantly beneficial effect on immune system function. (page 33)

Currently, public health labs across the country have access to an FDA-approved diagnostic test that can detect coronavirus (previously, only Center for Disease Control and Prevention labs could test for it). But as of now, if your answer is “no” to any of the questions, you won’t get tested for the novel coronavirus. The reason: FDA-approved testing kits are in limited supply, [Dr. William] Schaffner explains, so it’s a matter of limited resources. In other words: “You can’t just test on a whim.” (page 41)

No single group is more at risk of getting the virus, but older people and those with other medical conditions are more likely to become severely ill if they do contract it….Mortality rates are highest among those with secondary health issues, according to Andres Romero, MD….That’s similar to anyone who gets influenza or a respiratory infection: When there’s a condition like heart disease, cancer, metabolic disorders or other problems, the compromised immune system makes patients more at risk of hospitalization and possibly dying when they contract infections. China’s National Health Commission, however, has reported that 25 percent of the deaths so far involved no pre-existing conditions. (page 44)

The CDC has developed a test that uses respiratory secretions, from nasal or oral swabs, to detect infection from the virus. Your health-care provider will send this sample to an approved lab closest to your location. Recently, the FDA expanded the number of labs that can process these tests – to speed up testing – but if you’re suspected of having the virus, you may need to be quarantined for a short time while awaiting the results. (page 45)

11 responses to this post.

  1. Posted by Rex the Wonder Dog! 🐶🐶🐶🦴🦴🦴 on March 22, 2020 at 12:27 am

    Coronavirus Survival Guide = Stay the FUCK out of Costco. From personal experience.

    Reply

    • Having an office overlooking a Costco parking lot, this was the first inkling I had that allowing politicians to remain in control is going to lead to far more deaths.

      You have a disease spread by proximity to other humans and you panic people into putting themselves into one of the most congested situations on the planet – a Costco checkout line (referring here to the Union and Linden Costcos; the N. Plainfield one seems to always move a lot faster). What about some use of the National Guard working with private food stores to either deliver essentials or have some sort of pickup system? Is that too much work?

      You also have a disease that is more dangerous to those who are least healthy so you close gyms and force people to stay in their houses and eat vats of Costco processed foods. If the ‘flattening the curve’ crowd is right and the same number of people are going to be infected, just at later times so the health care system can better handle them, then shouldn’t an emphasis be placed on making everyone as healthy as possible to withstand this virus better?

      Reply

  2. Posted by geo8rge on March 22, 2020 at 2:43 am

    News from Australia:

    Australia has not yet not buckle under pressure from the teachers union and leaves school open. An interesting experiment worth watching. Aussie Aussie Aussie Oi Oi Oi!!!!

    ‘I feel expendable’: Australian teachers sound alarm about schools and coronavirus

    With social distancing impossible to enforce and a shortage of cleaning supplies, teachers say there is a disregard for their health

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/21/i-feel-expendable-australian-teachers-sound-alarm-about-schools-and-coronavirus

    “SPEND TIME OUTSIDE” makes sense but the rules are the rules

    Bondi Beach in Australia closes after crowds ignore coronavirus warnings
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-australia-closing-bondi-beach-crowds-ignore-social-distancing-guidelines/

    Reply

  3. Posted by geo8rge on March 22, 2020 at 2:47 am

    New Jersey STEM Teachers Can Moonlight at Private Schools

    New Jersey education officials and individual school districts are promoting a new grant program that will pay public school teachers to moonlight by teaching STEM classes in private schools.

    https://www.govtech.com/education/k-12/New-Jersey-STEM-Teachers-Can-Moonlight-at-Private-Schools.html

    Reply

  4. Posted by geo8rge on March 22, 2020 at 4:09 am

    Actuarial question: What kind of death rate would you expect from Italy and other countries?

    According to IndexMuni the death rates per 1000 is Italy 10.5. If you use 60 million as the Italian population then this year a guestimate of deaths would be 10.5x60M/1000 = 630,000 or 1726 deaths per day. I wonder what the daily death rate from all causes is currently.

    The refugee crisis probably means Italian demographics are not as well defined as pre crisis.

    Also interesting is places I would have thought would have high death rates don’t. Iraq is said to be 3.8 deaths per 1000 while Guatemala is said to be 5, while the USA is 8.2 and China is 8. Am I missing something? Some websites put the USA at 8.8.

    https://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?v=26

    From the CDC USA: Influenza and Pneumonia: 55,672 deaths in 2017. Worldometers puts the Covid deaths in the US at 300, which if I understand it right are also Pneumonia. Are 2020 Influenza and Pneumonia in the US higher than previous years?

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm

    Reply

    • Posted by Tough Love on March 22, 2020 at 10:54 am

      The way you are using “death rate” appears to deaths per # infected (with is correct). Hence you shouldn’t be multiplying by the 60M total population, but by the estimated proportion of the Italian population expected to become infected.

      Reply

  5. Posted by Anonymous on March 22, 2020 at 12:04 pm

    Hey John I’m sure you have read this but Italy was ranked the number one healthiest country in the world oh, so how do you explain what is going on now?

    Reply

  6. Posted by geo8rge on March 22, 2020 at 2:45 pm

    Executive Order No. 107

    Closing non-essential retail businesses: All non-essential retail businesses, which were previously limited to between 5 am and 8 pm, must now close entirely (online delivery can continue). The list of essential retail businesses that can stay open is limited to the following (Colonel Callahan has authority to amend the list):

    12) Liquor stores;

    Reply

  7. Posted by dentss dunnigan on March 23, 2020 at 5:34 am

    If I was a retired local government or public school worker living off that pension I’d be shitting bricks, cause if high revenue generating local commercial taxes aren’t going to be paid, who will be paying my retirement benefits ??????? Haircuts are coming to those living on those retirement incomes big time.

    Reply

    • Posted by Rex the Wonder Dog! 🐶🐶🐶🦴🦴🦴 on March 24, 2020 at 4:18 am

      Haircuts are coming to those living on those retirement incomes big time.
      I dont know about anyone else but I will be shedding one or two crocodile tears at the PARTAY I will be throwing! :)!

      Reply

  8. Posted by MJ on March 24, 2020 at 6:44 am

    I have read, and can’t recall the source, that if someone dies in Italy of other circumstances but tested positive for corona, they are counting it a corona death. Maybe skewing the numbers?

    I’m sure Italy’s economy is in the crapper and I wonder how they will fix it or make it up to so may who have depleted savings, lost their businesses, restuarants, etc. I’ve read where tourism is Italy’s greatest income generator for their economy. Once this clears, it will still be months before tourism is up and running again

    Very sad all around

    Reply

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