The expectation within the legal community is that Christie will lose this case.
Even Stuart Buck, vice president of research and integrity at the Laura and John Arnold Foundation — an organization that public-sector unions revile for promoting reductions in pension benefits — says the 2011 law was “pretty clear” in prohibiting Christie’s $1.57 billion cut. “It’s kind of astonishing,” Buck told POLITICO, “for the governor to go back on that and try to withhold payments … that were promised by law.”
Patrick Murray, director of New Jersey’s Monmouth University Polling Institute, said that while a court ruling against Christie wouldn’t likely affect voters, it might well hinder fundraising. “If I’m a donor and sitting there,” Murray said, “why would I bother to take a risk on him?”
Indeed, many former Christie supporters are already shifting their loyalty to his key rival for support of the party establishment, Jeb Bush. These include New Jersey state Sen. Joe Kyrillos, who chaired Christie’s 2009 campaign; Brian Nelson, a lobbyist who led Christie’s gubernatorial transition team; New York Jets owner Woody Johnson; and Lawrence Bathgate, an influential New Jersey attorney.
- The Supreme court will rule that the $1.57 billion payment need not be made for some reason that includes the word ’emergency’
- Chrisite will announce his presidential bid around Memorial Day
Nothing else seems possible since…..
- Requiring the $1.57 billion payment means that future payments would also be required even when we get to the 7/7th level of the ARC and amounts in the $5 billion range.
- Christie still believes the rest of the country is laughing with him (and us)